Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1.198562 1.355581 1.527538 1.730171 1.962859 2.222203 2.533858
2024-12-15 0.968535 1.182386 1.437054 1.764182 2.175380 2.677917 3.342853
2024-12-22 0.820874 1.053097 1.345217 1.742534 2.273251 2.963877 3.940679
2024-12-29 0.730760 0.976197 1.299117 1.759613 2.406779 3.294807 4.624472
2025-01-05 0.648154 0.895667 1.233839 1.735827 2.472613 3.530915 5.196198
2025-01-12 0.585435 0.833585 1.184174 1.723601 2.546909 3.779599 5.809534
2025-01-19 0.515951 0.753670 1.099294 1.647782 2.513809 3.858328 6.162910
2025-01-26 0.483984 0.725140 1.085914 1.676451 2.641289 4.195299 6.970249
2025-02-02 0.457380 0.701681 1.077046 1.709621 2.777106 4.557667 7.864491
2025-02-09 0.429658 0.673591 1.057698 1.722655 2.878991 4.871860 8.712319
2025-02-16 0.404063 0.646418 1.036905 1.730240 2.970669 5.176003 9.579050
2025-02-23 0.385663 0.629265 1.030662 1.761295 3.105580 5.570396 10.668490
2025-03-02 0.356658 0.592530 0.989263 1.728121 3.123241 5.755712 11.383741
2025-03-09 0.342788 0.580603 0.989539 1.770166 3.286178 6.237636 12.780944
2025-03-16 0.320233 0.551536 0.956962 1.747698 3.321544 6.470953 13.680937
2025-03-23 0.305641 0.535421 0.946107 1.764902 3.436265 6.877057 15.021295
2025-03-30 0.286675 0.509848 0.915726 1.741031 3.464387 7.104376 15.985475
2025-04-06 0.270891 0.488962 0.892386 1.728765 3.514899 7.384779 17.117181
2025-04-13 0.248558 0.454166 0.839940 1.652696 3.421131 7.335097 17.432173
2025-04-20 0.240456 0.445982 0.838330 1.681459 3.558818 7.824982 19.185523
2025-04-27 0.233370 0.439222 0.838919 1.714739 3.709901 8.364173 21.157486
2025-05-04 0.224568 0.428429 0.830546 1.727815 3.815935 8.808509 22.949140
2025-05-11 0.215798 0.417081 0.820158 1.735426 3.909804 9.234316 24.762411